Log in
Trader leaderboard/romanew-1-new

romanew-1-new

0x74386dfd2b031762e5d83e1b69f0e27797fbb741
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$8
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3W / 3L · 47 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
30W / 23L
Trades (30d)
53
across 16 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$2.75
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.08
$1 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,111 · all-time $192,094

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.0% 517W/182L 690 $6,080
💵 Economy 85.0% 17W/3L 55 $407
🏛 Politics 28.6% 6W/15L 50 $340
₿ Crypto 75.0% 9W/3L 41 $286
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/8L 16 $130
🤖 Tech 9 $43
🔬 Science 4 $6
🌤 Weather 3 $5
⚽ Sports 1 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes 117 0.195 $22.79 $16.83 +282.4%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in August? Yes 44 0.505 $22.15 $9.66 +77.2%
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch Yes 48 0.370 $17.79 $11.54 +184.6%
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 58 0.230 $13.28 $0.88 +7.1%
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes 42 0.275 $11.46 $-1.04 -8.3%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 114 0.095 $10.80 $-1.71 -13.6%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 100m by August 31? No 30 0.350 $10.42 $4.17 +66.7%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes 67 0.155 $10.32 $1.35 +15.0%
Will Leavitt say "Red" during the next White House Press Briefing? Yes 18 0.545 $10.02 $3.77 +60.3%
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? Yes 71 0.140 $9.97 $2.14 +27.3%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? No 128 0.076 $9.76 $-2.74 -21.9%
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch Yes 28 0.340 $9.40 $0.56 +6.3%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.430 $8.88 $5.58 +168.7%
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 20 0.446 $8.72 $5.79 +197.3%
Will Trump say "National Mall" in August? No 33 0.265 $8.72 $2.47 +39.5%
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? No 13 0.655 $8.71 $2.46 +39.4%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 36 0.245 $8.70 $-1.24 -12.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by August 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.430 $8.40 $2.15 +34.4%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? Yes 54 0.151 $8.21 $1.96 +31.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31? Yes 20 0.405 $7.91 $1.66 +26.6%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? Yes 52 0.150 $7.81 $1.56 +25.0%
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 48 0.160 $7.69 $1.44 +23.1%
Will Trump praise Dana White in August? No 22 0.355 $7.65 $1.40 +22.4%
Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31? Yes 55 0.137 $7.52 $4.60 +157.5%
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes 54 0.140 $7.50 $1.28 +20.7%