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Trader leaderboard/romanew-1-new

romanew-1-new

0x74386dfd2b031762e5d83e1b69f0e27797fbb741
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$81
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$98
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
122W / 28L · 325 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
326W / 147L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
475
across 194 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.56
avg win $4 · loss $4
Profit Factor
2.09
$155 won / $74 lost
Reward / Risk
1.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,426 · all-time $192,409

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.0% 517W/182L 690 $6,080
💵 Economy 85.0% 17W/3L 55 $407
🏛 Politics 28.6% 6W/15L 50 $340
₿ Crypto 75.0% 9W/3L 41 $286
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/8L 16 $130
🤖 Tech 9 $43
🔬 Science 4 $6
🌤 Weather 3 $5
⚽ Sports 1 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in August? Yes 44 0.450 $19.74 $7.24 +57.9%
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch Yes 48 0.360 $17.31 $11.06 +176.9%
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes 117 0.117 $13.62 $7.66 +128.4%
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 58 0.230 $13.28 $0.88 +7.1%
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes 42 0.275 $11.46 $-1.04 -8.3%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes 67 0.155 $10.32 $1.35 +15.0%
Will Leavitt say "Red" during the next White House Press Briefing? Yes 18 0.545 $10.02 $3.77 +60.3%
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? Yes 71 0.140 $9.97 $2.14 +27.3%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? No 128 0.076 $9.76 $-2.74 -21.9%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 114 0.085 $9.66 $-2.84 -22.7%
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? No 13 0.690 $9.18 $2.92 +46.8%
Will Trump praise Dana White in August? No 22 0.425 $9.16 $2.91 +46.6%
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 20 0.453 $8.86 $5.93 +202.0%
Will Trump say "National Mall" in August? No 33 0.265 $8.72 $2.47 +39.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.420 $8.67 $5.37 +162.5%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 36 0.240 $8.52 $-1.42 -14.3%
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch Yes 28 0.305 $8.43 $-0.41 -4.6%
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes 34 0.245 $8.23 $2.08 +33.9%
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 48 0.170 $8.17 $1.92 +30.8%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? Yes 52 0.155 $8.07 $1.82 +29.2%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 18 0.425 $7.81 $1.56 +25.0%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? Yes 54 0.141 $7.66 $1.41 +22.5%
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 45 0.170 $7.63 $3.04 +66.2%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31? Yes 20 0.385 $7.52 $1.27 +20.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 130 0.054 $7.03 $-5.47 -43.7%