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Trader leaderboard/romanew-1-new

romanew-1-new

0x74386dfd2b031762e5d83e1b69f0e27797fbb741
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$24
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$22
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
81W / 21L · 244 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
244W / 99L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
346
across 140 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.62
avg win $2 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.66
$47 won / $71 lost
Reward / Risk
0.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$33
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,562 · all-time $192,545

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.7% 519W/185L 703 $6,188
💵 Economy 81.0% 17W/4L 62 $456
🏛 Politics 26.1% 6W/17L 54 $357
₿ Crypto 69.2% 9W/4L 48 $332
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/10L 16 $141
🤖 Tech 11 $56
🔬 Science 4 $6
🌤 Weather 3 $5
⚽ Sports 1 $11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? Yes 130 0.285 $37.09 $24.59 +196.8%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in August? Yes 44 0.490 $21.50 $9.00 +72.0%
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch Yes 48 0.390 $18.75 $12.50 +200.0%
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 58 0.230 $13.28 $0.88 +7.1%
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes 42 0.315 $13.12 $0.62 +5.0%
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes 117 0.100 $11.63 $5.67 +95.1%
Will Trump praise Dana White in August? No 22 0.510 $10.99 $4.74 +75.9%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August? Yes 16 0.665 $10.64 $4.40 +70.5%
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? Yes 19 0.540 $10.38 $8.46 +440.0%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes 67 0.155 $10.32 $1.35 +15.0%
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? Yes 54 0.188 $10.11 $3.89 +62.6%
Will Leavitt say "Red" during the next White House Press Briefing? Yes 18 0.545 $10.02 $3.77 +60.3%
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? Yes 71 0.140 $9.97 $2.14 +27.3%
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 26 0.385 $9.91 $3.73 +60.4%
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? No 128 0.076 $9.70 $-2.81 -22.5%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 114 0.085 $9.66 $-2.84 -22.7%
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch Yes 28 0.345 $9.53 $0.69 +7.8%
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? No 13 0.675 $8.98 $2.73 +43.6%
Will Trump say "National Mall" in August? No 33 0.270 $8.88 $2.63 +42.1%
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 20 0.453 $8.85 $5.92 +201.7%
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 36 0.240 $8.52 $-1.42 -14.3%
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 45 0.185 $8.35 $3.76 +81.9%
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 48 0.170 $8.17 $1.92 +30.8%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 18 0.425 $7.81 $1.56 +25.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.370 $7.64 $4.34 +131.2%