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Trader

0x716934e59ade35d8c7469816542e368e744e3ca6
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$28
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$36
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
230W / 132L · 34 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
247W / 149L
Trades (30d)
396
across 130 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.24
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.84
$144 won / $172 lost
Reward / Risk
0.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$22
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,463 · all-time $21,060

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.4% 944W/417L 551 $2,941
🎬 Culture 59.9% 157W/105L 107 $731
🤖 Tech 56.8% 92W/70L 63 $497
🏛 Politics 36.0% 9W/16L 25 $111
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 3 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 28 0.770 $21.25 $-1.11 -5.0%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? No 31 0.680 $21.04 $5.94 +39.3%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 26 0.720 $18.38 $-0.08 -0.4%
Will Disney say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call? No 30 0.570 $17.10 $10.80 +171.4%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 18 0.865 $15.59 $-0.12 -0.7%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call? No 18 0.775 $13.76 $0.35 +2.6%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 24 0.560 $13.32 $-0.31 -2.3%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 21 0.640 $13.28 $0.58 +4.6%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 18 0.595 $10.55 $-0.22 -2.1%
Will Airbnb say "Social Media" during earnings call? No 15 0.675 $9.80 $-0.22 -2.2%
Will Airbnb say "Holiday" during earnings call? No 12 0.745 $9.06 $-0.18 -2.0%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 15 0.535 $7.90 $-0.18 -2.2%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call? No 10 0.765 $7.34 $0.05 +0.7%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 12 0.630 $7.32 $-0.14 -1.8%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call? No 8 0.890 $7.30 $0.04 +0.6%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call? No 11 0.655 $7.20 $-1.19 -14.2%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? No 10 0.655 $6.66 $1.61 +32.0%
Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 8 0.725 $5.99 $-0.38 -5.9%
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? No 6 0.740 $4.18 $-0.23 -5.1%
Will anyone say "Instagram" or "TikTok" during Big Brother E15? No 8 0.495 $3.72 $-2.51 -40.4%
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E14? No 6 0.495 $3.19 $-1.69 -34.6%
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 6 0.490 $2.85 $0.52 +22.5%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call? No 7 0.385 $2.80 $-0.62 -18.1%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 7 0.365 $2.59 $-0.18 -6.4%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 11 0.225 $2.42 $-0.01 -0.5%