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Trader

0x716934e59ade35d8c7469816542e368e744e3ca6
PnL (30d)
+$145
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$30
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
944W / 417L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
978W / 456L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
1,437
across 546 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.28
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.25
$722 won / $577 lost
Reward / Risk
0.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$27
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,423 · all-time $21,021

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.4% 944W/417L 546 $2,930
🎬 Culture 59.9% 161W/108L 109 $731
🤖 Tech 57.0% 94W/71L 66 $503
🏛 Politics 37.9% 11W/18L 29 $116
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 3 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 28 0.770 $21.25 $-1.11 -5.0%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? No 31 0.680 $21.04 $5.94 +39.3%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 26 0.720 $18.38 $-0.08 -0.4%
Will Disney say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call? No 30 0.570 $17.10 $10.80 +171.4%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 26 0.615 $15.78 $0.07 +0.5%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 18 0.865 $15.59 $-0.12 -0.7%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call? No 18 0.785 $13.94 $0.53 +3.9%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 24 0.565 $13.43 $-0.20 -1.5%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 18 0.605 $10.72 $-0.05 -0.4%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 20 0.515 $10.39 $-0.65 -5.9%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? No 31 0.275 $8.53 $1.71 +25.0%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call? No 11 0.750 $8.24 $-0.15 -1.8%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? No 13 0.565 $7.54 $0.92 +13.8%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call? No 10 0.765 $7.34 $0.05 +0.7%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call? No 8 0.875 $7.18 $-0.08 -1.1%
Will Airbnb say "Holiday" during earnings call? No 8 0.745 $6.12 $-0.12 -2.0%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 10 0.630 $6.11 $-0.10 -1.6%
Will Airbnb say "Social Media" during earnings call? No 9 0.675 $5.91 $-0.13 -2.2%
Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 8 0.710 $5.87 $-0.50 -7.9%
Will anyone say "Instagram" or "TikTok" during Big Brother E15? No 8 0.495 $3.72 $-2.51 -40.4%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 4 0.915 $3.30 $0.05 +1.7%
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E14? No 6 0.495 $3.19 $-1.69 -34.6%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call? No 7 0.385 $2.80 $-0.62 -18.1%
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 6 0.465 $2.71 $0.38 +16.2%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 7 0.370 $2.63 $-0.14 -5.1%