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Trader

0x716934e59ade35d8c7469816542e368e744e3ca6
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$23
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-9.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
69W / 48L
Win Return (30d)
59%
69W / 48L
Trades (30d)
117
across 34 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.67
avg win $3 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.73
$61 won / $84 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,435 · all-time $21,032

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.4% 944W/417L 551 $2,941
🎬 Culture 59.9% 161W/108L 114 $741
🤖 Tech 57.0% 94W/71L 66 $503
🏛 Politics 37.9% 11W/18L 29 $116
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 3 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 28 0.770 $21.25 $-1.11 -5.0%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? No 31 0.680 $21.04 $5.94 +39.3%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 26 0.720 $18.38 $-0.08 -0.4%
Will Disney say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call? No 30 0.570 $17.10 $10.80 +171.4%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 26 0.660 $16.94 $1.23 +7.8%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 18 0.865 $15.59 $-0.12 -0.7%
Will Disney say "Fortnite" during earnings call? No 18 0.770 $13.67 $0.26 +2.0%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 24 0.565 $13.43 $-0.20 -1.5%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 18 0.595 $10.55 $-0.22 -2.1%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 15 0.530 $7.83 $-0.25 -3.1%
Will Airbnb say "Social Media" during earnings call? No 12 0.675 $7.83 $-0.17 -2.2%
Will Airbnb say "Holiday" during earnings call? No 10 0.745 $7.61 $-0.15 -2.0%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? No 13 0.565 $7.54 $0.92 +13.8%
Will Uber say "Oil", "Gas", or "Gasoline" during earnings call? No 10 0.765 $7.34 $0.05 +0.7%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call? No 8 0.885 $7.26 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call? No 11 0.655 $7.20 $-1.19 -14.2%
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 10 0.630 $6.11 $-0.10 -1.6%
Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 8 0.700 $5.79 $-0.58 -9.2%
Will anyone say "Instagram" or "TikTok" during Big Brother E15? No 8 0.495 $3.72 $-2.51 -40.4%
Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call? No 26 0.130 $3.38 $-2.34 -40.9%
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E14? No 6 0.495 $3.19 $-1.69 -34.6%
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? No 4 0.740 $3.11 $-0.17 -5.1%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call? No 7 0.385 $2.80 $-0.62 -18.1%
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 6 0.465 $2.71 $0.38 +16.2%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? No 7 0.370 $2.63 $-0.14 -5.1%