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Trader leaderboard/Ersicolus

Ersicolus

0x6f36ce54f16757df7f4dd693433dfe8932f089ca
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$171
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+71.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
27W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
77%
27W / 8L
Trades (30d)
35
across 13 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$13.19
avg win $23 · loss $10
Profit Factor
5.49
$210 won / $38 lost
Reward / Risk
2.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$26
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,575 · all-time $281,391

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.9% 100W/67L 85 $4,979
🏛 Politics 45.5% 15W/18L 27 $2,095
🎬 Culture 40.0% 12W/18L 21 $1,175
⚽ Sports 93.8% 15W/1L 5 $258

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 200 0.625 $125.00 $3.70 +3.0%
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? Yes 300 0.345 $103.47 $51.91 +100.7%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 500 0.180 $90.00 $-21.92 -19.6%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August? Yes 200 0.400 $80.00 $16.56 +26.1%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 2,000 0.025 $50.00 $0.46 +0.9%
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $11.69 +35.6%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Yes 4,000 0.009 $34.00 $25.94 +321.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 200 0.165 $33.00 $-6.60 -16.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.200 $19.95 $8.85 +79.7%
Will Trump say "Moscow" in August? Yes 55 0.335 $18.43 $-3.57 -16.2%
Will Trump say "Moon" this week? Yes 35 0.495 $17.32 $4.02 +30.3%
Will Trump post "Communist" on Truth Social this week? Yes 27 0.580 $15.85 $1.09 +7.4%
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? Yes 30 0.525 $15.75 $9.75 +162.5%
Will Trump say "No No No" in August? No 150 0.105 $15.75 $-5.33 -25.3%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? Yes 400 0.037 $14.80 $-12.79 -46.4%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? No 90 0.135 $12.13 $7.64 +170.0%
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? No 60 0.195 $11.71 $-6.98 -37.4%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? Yes 300 0.029 $8.85 $-1.18 -11.8%
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week? Yes 20 0.420 $8.40 $2.80 +50.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.004 $8.00 $-8.83 -52.5%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? Yes 250 0.029 $7.25 $-2.25 -23.7%
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in August? No 30 0.200 $6.00 $0.30 +5.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? Yes 600 0.009 $5.70 $-2.76 -32.6%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 100 0.055 $5.50 $-0.50 -8.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? Yes 500 0.009 $4.75 $3.52 +285.9%