Log in
Trader leaderboard/Ersicolus

Ersicolus

0x6f36ce54f16757df7f4dd693433dfe8932f089ca
PnL (30d)
+$308
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$453
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
100W / 67L · 342 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
367W / 140L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
509
across 85 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$6.55
avg win $17 · loss $8
Profit Factor
2.95
$466 won / $158 lost
Reward / Risk
2.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$40
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,460 · all-time $281,276

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.9% 100W/67L 85 $4,979
🏛 Politics 37.1% 13W/22L 27 $2,152
🎬 Culture 31.2% 10W/22L 21 $1,185
⚽ Sports 93.8% 15W/1L 5 $258

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? Yes 300 0.480 $144.00 $92.44 +179.3%
Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? No 200 0.600 $120.00 $-1.30 -1.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 500 0.180 $90.00 $-21.92 -19.6%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August? Yes 200 0.400 $80.00 $16.56 +26.1%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 2,000 0.025 $49.00 $-0.54 -1.1%
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week? Yes 100 0.435 $43.50 $10.69 +32.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 200 0.155 $31.00 $-8.60 -21.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Yes 4,000 0.007 $30.00 $21.94 +272.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.265 $26.50 $15.40 +138.7%
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? Yes 99 0.230 $22.77 $-1.58 -6.5%
Will Trump say "Moscow" in August? Yes 55 0.335 $18.43 $-3.57 -16.2%
Will Trump say "Moon" this week? Yes 35 0.500 $17.50 $4.20 +31.6%
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? Yes 30 0.550 $16.50 $10.50 +175.0%
Will Trump say "No No No" in August? No 150 0.105 $15.75 $-5.33 -25.3%
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? Yes 400 0.037 $14.80 $-12.79 -46.4%
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? No 60 0.195 $11.71 $-6.98 -37.4%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? Yes 300 0.039 $11.70 $1.67 +16.6%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? No 90 0.130 $11.68 $7.19 +160.0%
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week? Yes 20 0.470 $9.40 $3.80 +67.9%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.004 $9.00 $-7.83 -46.5%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? Yes 250 0.030 $7.62 $-1.88 -19.7%
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in August? No 30 0.205 $6.15 $0.45 +7.9%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? Yes 600 0.010 $6.00 $-2.46 -29.1%
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 100 0.045 $4.50 $-1.50 -25.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? Yes 500 0.009 $4.25 $3.02 +245.2%