PnL (30d)

−$1,037

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$200

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-20.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

57W / 164L · 51 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

68W / 204L

Trades (30d)

272

across 37 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$39.89

avg win $195 · loss $126

Profit Factor

0.57

$1,364 won / $2,401 lost

Reward / Risk

1.54

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$965

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.7% 1,081W/1,339L	316	$65,401
₿ Crypto	49.1% 107W/111L	28	$7,273
💵 Economy	10.7% 9W/75L	18	$3,083
🎬 Culture	51.6% 33W/31L	6	$2,171

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	8,502	0.065	$552.60	$-517.06	-48.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	2,900	0.145	$420.45	$-75.18	-15.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	900	0.425	$382.50	$84.50	+28.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	1,071	0.240	$257.04	$-21.67	-7.8%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	801	0.250	$200.23	$-138.83	-40.9%
Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 3 above $880?	No	300	0.510	$153.00	$19.00	+14.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	600	0.215	$129.00	$-40.00	-23.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	Yes	830	0.140	$116.20	$-80.30	-40.9%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	437	0.260	$113.60	$-44.13	-28.0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?	No	506	0.210	$106.31	$-12.94	-10.8%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 3 above $320?	No	200	0.420	$84.00	$22.00	+35.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $210?	No	300	0.225	$67.49	$-43.50	-39.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	1,800	0.036	$64.80	$-30.40	-31.9%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $285?	No	100	0.645	$64.50	$14.50	+29.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	Yes	640	0.090	$57.60	$-55.40	-49.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	Yes	1,000	0.050	$50.00	$-84.00	-62.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.485	$48.50	$-0.50	-1.0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 5?	No	600	0.075	$45.00	$-1.00	-2.2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5?	Down	607	0.070	$42.50	$-139.11	-76.6%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 3 above $490?	No	100	0.420	$42.00	$5.00	+13.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	1,676	0.025	$41.90	$-181.91	-81.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?	Yes	189	0.170	$32.09	$5.66	+21.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	530	0.051	$27.29	$-12.80	-31.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	391	0.065	$25.41	$-11.42	-31.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on August 5?	No	300	0.075	$22.50	$-67.50	-75.0%