PnL (30d)

−$3,107

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$703

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

1,081W / 1,339L · 182 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

1,115W / 1,481L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

2,602

across 316 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$10.94

avg win $164 · loss $91

Profit Factor

0.82

$14,571 won / $17,678 lost

Reward / Risk

1.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,971

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.7% 1,081W/1,339L	316	$65,401
₿ Crypto	51.5% 122W/115L	32	$8,128
💵 Economy	14.8% 13W/75L	19	$3,116
🎬 Culture	51.6% 33W/31L	6	$2,171

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	8,502	0.065	$552.60	$-517.06	-48.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	2,860	0.140	$400.36	$-89.28	-18.2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	801	0.325	$260.30	$-78.76	-23.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	1,071	0.240	$257.04	$-21.67	-7.8%
Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 3 above $880?	No	300	0.540	$162.00	$28.00	+20.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	400	0.385	$154.00	$16.00	+11.6%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	437	0.330	$144.18	$-13.55	-8.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	600	0.205	$123.00	$-46.00	-27.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	Yes	830	0.130	$107.90	$-88.60	-45.1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?	No	400	0.250	$100.00	$4.00	+4.2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5?	Down	607	0.160	$97.14	$-84.47	-46.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $210?	No	300	0.250	$74.99	$-36.00	-32.4%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $285?	No	100	0.665	$66.50	$16.50	+33.0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 3 above $320?	No	200	0.305	$61.00	$-1.00	-1.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	Yes	640	0.090	$57.60	$-55.40	-49.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	Yes	1,000	0.055	$55.00	$-79.00	-59.0%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 3 above $490?	No	100	0.510	$51.00	$14.00	+37.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.455	$45.50	$-3.50	-7.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	1,200	0.035	$42.48	$-33.52	-44.1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 5?	No	400	0.095	$38.00	$6.00	+18.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?	Yes	189	0.165	$31.14	$4.72	+17.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	1,556	0.020	$31.12	$-189.11	-85.9%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on August 5?	No	300	0.100	$30.00	$-60.00	-66.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	391	0.075	$29.32	$-7.51	-20.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	530	0.051	$27.29	$-12.80	-31.9%