PnL (30d)

−$330

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$147

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

372W / 477L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

383W / 492L

Trades (30d)

875

across 93 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$3.88

avg win $202 · loss $95

Profit Factor

0.94

$5,255 won / $5,585 lost

Reward / Risk

2.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$691

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.7% 1,081W/1,339L	316	$65,401
₿ Crypto	51.5% 122W/115L	32	$8,128
💵 Economy	14.8% 13W/75L	19	$3,116
🎬 Culture	51.6% 33W/31L	6	$2,171

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	8,502	0.065	$552.60	$-517.06	-48.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	2,860	0.140	$400.36	$-89.28	-18.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	1,071	0.240	$257.04	$-21.67	-7.8%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	801	0.310	$248.28	$-90.77	-26.8%
Will Micron (MU) finish week of August 3 above $880?	No	300	0.500	$150.00	$16.00	+11.9%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	437	0.315	$137.63	$-20.10	-12.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	400	0.325	$130.00	$-8.00	-5.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	600	0.205	$123.00	$-46.00	-27.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	Yes	830	0.125	$103.75	$-92.75	-47.2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?	No	400	0.235	$94.00	$-2.00	-2.1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 5?	Down	607	0.125	$75.89	$-105.72	-58.2%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $210?	No	300	0.245	$73.49	$-37.50	-33.8%
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of August 3 above $285?	No	100	0.700	$70.00	$20.00	+40.0%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 3 above $320?	No	200	0.320	$64.00	$2.00	+3.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	Yes	640	0.090	$57.60	$-55.40	-49.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	Yes	1,000	0.050	$50.00	$-84.00	-62.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.450	$45.00	$-4.00	-8.2%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 3 above $490?	No	100	0.435	$43.50	$6.50	+17.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	1,200	0.034	$40.20	$-35.80	-47.1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 5?	No	400	0.085	$34.00	$2.00	+6.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?	Yes	189	0.165	$31.14	$4.72	+17.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	1,556	0.020	$31.12	$-189.11	-85.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	Yes	530	0.051	$27.29	$-12.80	-31.9%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on August 5?	No	300	0.090	$27.00	$-63.00	-70.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	391	0.065	$25.41	$-11.42	-31.0%