PnL (30d)

−$27

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 4L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

1W / 5L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

7

across 4 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$26.59

· loss $27

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $27 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$181

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.4% 108W/147L	85	$15,392
🏛 Politics	37.5% 15W/25L	24	$4,533
🎬 Culture	38.5% 15W/24L	22	$3,866
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$668

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

93 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.425	$724.75	$610.95	+536.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.255	$434.85	$314.00	+259.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.185	$315.51	$163.83	+108.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.178	$304.39	$201.66	+196.3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,707	0.165	$281.65	$156.71	+125.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,706	0.155	$264.43	$124.27	+88.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,701	0.135	$229.63	$120.81	+111.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,711	0.105	$179.65	$46.84	+35.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,700	0.075	$127.52	$12.49	+10.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.175	$122.50	$95.58	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.165	$115.50	$88.58	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.165	$115.50	$88.58	+329.0%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	300	0.370	$111.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,706	0.065	$110.86	$7.07	+6.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,350	0.079	$106.69	$49.06	+85.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.135	$94.50	$67.58	+251.0%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10,000	0.007	$75.00	$-15.00	-16.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.075	$75.00	$-1.92	-2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.045	$72.00	$-8.87	-11.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.095	$66.50	$39.58	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.085	$59.50	$32.58	+121.0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	506	0.079	$39.72	$14.25	+56.0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	500	0.065	$32.50	$-7.50	-18.8%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	1,000	0.030	$30.50	$1.38	+4.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,450	0.021	$30.46	$-27.40	-47.4%