PnL (30d)

−$30

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$146

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

108W / 147L · 169 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

203W / 220L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

424

across 85 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.55

avg win $39 · loss $54

Profit Factor

0.98

$1,214 won / $1,243 lost

Reward / Risk

0.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$380

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.4% 108W/147L	85	$15,392
🏛 Politics	37.2% 16W/27L	25	$4,623
🎬 Culture	40.0% 16W/24L	23	$3,867
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	4	$814

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

93 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.415	$707.70	$593.89	+521.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.245	$417.80	$296.95	+245.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.185	$315.51	$163.83	+108.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,705	0.179	$306.09	$203.36	+198.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,707	0.165	$281.65	$156.71	+125.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,706	0.155	$264.43	$124.27	+88.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,701	0.125	$212.62	$103.80	+95.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,711	0.105	$179.65	$46.84	+35.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,700	0.075	$127.52	$12.49	+10.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.175	$122.50	$95.58	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.165	$115.50	$88.58	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.165	$115.50	$88.58	+329.0%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	300	0.370	$111.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,706	0.065	$110.86	$7.07	+6.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,350	0.082	$110.07	$52.44	+91.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.145	$101.50	$74.58	+277.0%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10,000	0.007	$75.00	$-15.00	-16.7%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.075	$75.00	$-1.92	-2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,600	0.045	$72.00	$-8.87	-11.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.095	$66.50	$39.58	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.085	$59.50	$32.58	+121.0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	506	0.079	$39.72	$14.25	+56.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	700	0.055	$38.50	$11.58	+43.0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	500	0.065	$32.50	$-7.50	-18.8%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	1,000	0.030	$30.50	$1.38	+4.8%