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Trader

0x6b0ebbef2630b9a0da35594bf7ddd1911246e3ea
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$78
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 3L · 246 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
184W / 65L
Trades (30d)
249
across 21 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$4.84
· loss $5
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $149,845 · all-time $50,172,475

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.2% 3,304W/3,273L 741 $132,155
🏛 Politics 32.0% 24W/51L 212 $5,846
🎬 Culture 15.7% 8W/43L 75 $927
💵 Economy 17.0% 8W/39L 43 $719
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 42 $639
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 11 $249
🌤 Weather 8 $136

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

195 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 491 0.105 $51.53 $-19.55 -27.5%
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No 65 0.795 $51.40 $50.75 +7850.0%
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 175 0.290 $50.79 $20.53 +67.8%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 912 0.055 $50.16 $-27.09 -35.1%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 178 0.275 $48.95 $0.89 +1.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 72 0.665 $47.73 $-1.05 -2.1%
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 307 0.135 $41.41 $-12.66 -23.4%
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 140 0.295 $41.40 $-3.76 -8.3%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No 42 0.979 $41.38 $2.52 +6.5%
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes 192 0.208 $40.08 $19.81 +97.8%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes 358 0.112 $39.95 $23.26 +139.4%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes 85 0.460 $39.10 $-0.28 -0.7%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? Yes 146 0.255 $37.35 $-4.23 -10.2%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 88 0.415 $36.48 $3.73 +11.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 41 0.866 $35.49 $-1.71 -4.6%
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes 190 0.185 $35.14 $10.08 +40.2%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 170 0.205 $34.85 $-1.40 -3.9%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes 1,426 0.024 $34.22 $6.17 +22.0%
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 118 0.275 $32.45 $4.82 +17.4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 337 0.095 $32.02 $-5.06 -13.6%
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? Yes 367 0.085 $31.20 $-10.95 -26.0%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 119 0.260 $30.94 $-1.19 -3.7%
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 361 0.085 $30.68 $-3.42 -10.0%
Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week? Yes 196 0.155 $30.40 $0.79 +2.7%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes 246 0.115 $28.33 $-13.51 -32.3%