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Trader

0x6b0ebbef2630b9a0da35594bf7ddd1911246e3ea
PnL (30d)
−$2,756
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,955
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3,304W / 3,273L · 8,006 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
7,926W / 6,628L · 29 open
Trades (30d)
14,583
across 735 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
−$12.25
avg win $37 · loss $43
Profit Factor
0.54
$3,217 won / $5,973 lost
Reward / Risk
0.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$656
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $142,717 · all-time $50,165,347

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.2% 3,304W/3,273L 735 $130,755
🏛 Politics 32.0% 24W/51L 205 $5,386
🎬 Culture 15.7% 8W/43L 70 $857
💵 Economy 17.0% 8W/39L 40 $686
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 39 $608
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 11 $222
🌤 Weather 8 $109

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

195 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 599 0.215 $128.69 $1.04 +0.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 522 0.115 $59.99 $-15.56 -20.6%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes 2,474 0.022 $55.67 $13.14 +30.9%
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No 69 0.795 $54.58 $53.90 +7850.0%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 912 0.055 $50.16 $-27.09 -35.1%
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes 175 0.275 $48.17 $17.90 +59.1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No 42 0.980 $41.42 $2.56 +6.6%
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 307 0.135 $41.41 $-12.66 -23.4%
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 140 0.295 $41.40 $-3.76 -8.3%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes 358 0.114 $40.85 $24.16 +144.7%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 88 0.455 $40.00 $7.25 +22.1%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes 85 0.460 $39.10 $-0.28 -0.7%
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes 192 0.201 $38.64 $18.37 +90.7%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? Yes 146 0.250 $36.62 $-4.96 -11.9%
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes 70 0.515 $35.90 $16.18 +82.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 41 0.866 $35.49 $-1.71 -4.6%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 170 0.205 $34.85 $-1.40 -3.9%
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes 190 0.180 $34.19 $9.13 +36.4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 337 0.095 $32.02 $-5.06 -13.6%
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? Yes 367 0.085 $31.20 $-10.95 -26.0%
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 118 0.260 $30.68 $3.05 +11.0%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? Yes 96 0.300 $28.89 $0.68 +2.4%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes 246 0.115 $28.33 $-13.51 -32.3%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? Yes 506 0.055 $27.83 $-14.21 -33.8%
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 361 0.075 $27.07 $-7.03 -20.6%