| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,587 |
0.255 |
$659.74 |
$-12.94 |
-1.9% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.355 |
$533.25 |
$-306.25 |
-36.5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.082 |
$407.50 |
$21.75 |
+5.6% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
Yes |
2,603 |
0.150 |
$390.47 |
$-271.76 |
-41.0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.013 |
$375.00 |
$74.91 |
+25.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.275 |
$275.00 |
$65.41 |
+31.2% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
282 |
0.930 |
$262.12 |
$5.66 |
+2.2% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.240 |
$240.00 |
$58.87 |
+32.5% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
714 |
0.300 |
$214.32 |
$63.33 |
+41.9% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.360 |
$180.00 |
$70.00 |
+63.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.175 |
$175.00 |
$65.00 |
+59.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.345 |
$172.45 |
$-2.55 |
-1.5% |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? |
Yes |
497 |
0.295 |
$146.67 |
$9.66 |
+7.1% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
194 |
0.745 |
$144.63 |
$19.72 |
+15.8% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
Yes |
470 |
0.275 |
$129.25 |
$21.82 |
+20.3% |
| Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31? |
Yes |
1,376 |
0.085 |
$116.96 |
$-3.12 |
-2.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.228 |
$114.00 |
$104.10 |
+1051.5% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
No |
1,199 |
0.085 |
$101.89 |
$-108.26 |
-51.5% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.180 |
$90.00 |
$10.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.080 |
$80.00 |
$30.00 |
+60.0% |
| Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31? |
Yes |
605 |
0.125 |
$75.66 |
$15.13 |
+25.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.035 |
$69.00 |
$-101.48 |
-59.5% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
Yes |
507 |
0.135 |
$68.45 |
$0.31 |
+0.4% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31? |
Yes |
70 |
0.954 |
$66.51 |
$2.13 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.028 |
$55.00 |
$-29.66 |
-35.0% |