| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,587 |
0.255 |
$659.74 |
$-12.94 |
-1.9% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.355 |
$533.25 |
$-306.25 |
-36.5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.086 |
$427.50 |
$41.75 |
+10.8% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
Yes |
2,603 |
0.145 |
$377.45 |
$-284.78 |
-43.0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.013 |
$375.00 |
$74.91 |
+25.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.275 |
$275.00 |
$65.41 |
+31.2% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
282 |
0.930 |
$262.12 |
$5.66 |
+2.2% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.235 |
$235.00 |
$53.87 |
+29.7% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
714 |
0.300 |
$214.32 |
$63.33 |
+41.9% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.992 |
$198.40 |
$52.37 |
+35.9% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.360 |
$180.00 |
$70.00 |
+63.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.345 |
$172.45 |
$-2.55 |
-1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.165 |
$165.00 |
$55.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? |
Yes |
497 |
0.295 |
$146.67 |
$9.66 |
+7.1% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
194 |
0.745 |
$144.63 |
$19.72 |
+15.8% |
| Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31? |
Yes |
1,376 |
0.100 |
$137.59 |
$17.52 |
+14.6% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
Yes |
470 |
0.270 |
$126.90 |
$19.47 |
+18.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
No |
1,199 |
0.085 |
$101.89 |
$-108.26 |
-51.5% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.180 |
$90.00 |
$10.00 |
+12.5% |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.080 |
$80.00 |
$30.00 |
+60.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.040 |
$79.00 |
$-91.48 |
-53.7% |
| Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31? |
Yes |
605 |
0.130 |
$78.69 |
$18.16 |
+30.0% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
Yes |
507 |
0.135 |
$68.45 |
$0.31 |
+0.4% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31? |
Yes |
70 |
0.948 |
$66.12 |
$1.74 |
+2.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.028 |
$55.00 |
$-29.66 |
-35.0% |