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Trader leaderboard/Friday

Friday

0x66c1cc4f994ee99a2f5977a2e071cbfd65852c72
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$122
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$59
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
6%
14W / 204L · 605 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
455W / 351L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
823
across 49 markets · ~17 per market
EV / position
−$7.62
avg win $50 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.62
$199 won / $321 lost
Reward / Risk
1.86
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$60
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,267 · all-time $4,611,830

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.9% 216W/421L 200 $45,845
🏛 Politics 38.5% 5W/8L 22 $5,645
💵 Economy 28.6% 2W/5L 13 $3,166
₿ Crypto 100.0% 2W/0L 7 $943
🤖 Tech 2 $527
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $156
⚽ Sports 1 $100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

84 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 2,587 0.255 $659.74 $-12.94 -1.9%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 1,500 0.355 $533.25 $-306.25 -36.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.082 $407.50 $21.75 +5.6%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes 2,603 0.150 $390.47 $-271.76 -41.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 30,000 0.013 $375.00 $74.91 +25.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes 1,000 0.275 $275.00 $65.41 +31.2%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 282 0.920 $259.30 $2.84 +1.1%
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.240 $240.00 $58.87 +32.5%
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes 714 0.300 $214.32 $63.33 +41.9%
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? Yes 500 0.360 $180.00 $70.00 +63.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 1,000 0.175 $175.00 $65.00 +59.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.345 $172.45 $-2.55 -1.5%
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? Yes 497 0.295 $146.67 $9.66 +7.1%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? Yes 194 0.745 $144.63 $19.72 +15.8%
Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31? Yes 1,376 0.095 $130.72 $10.64 +8.9%
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes 470 0.270 $126.90 $19.47 +18.1%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 1,199 0.085 $101.89 $-108.26 -51.5%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes 500 0.175 $87.50 $7.50 +9.4%
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by August 31? Yes 1,000 0.080 $80.00 $30.00 +60.0%
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31? Yes 605 0.125 $75.66 $15.13 +25.0%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.035 $69.00 $-101.48 -59.5%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes 507 0.135 $68.45 $0.31 +0.4%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31? Yes 70 0.955 $66.61 $2.23 +3.5%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes 500 0.105 $52.47 $2.50 +5.0%
Graham Platner divorce by October 31? Yes 460 0.105 $48.26 $2.70 +5.9%