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Trader leaderboard/0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

0x63bd19ec92d98b4cebfb150df81b629a67b4aff2
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$54
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-49.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
10W / 57L · 29 open
Win Return (30d)
19%
18W / 77L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
96
across 77 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.07
avg win $6 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.44
$43 won / $96 lost
Reward / Risk
2.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,578 · all-time $275,670

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 16.3% 49W/252L 336 $773
🏛 Politics 18.2% 4W/18L 35 $66
🎬 Culture 21.1% 4W/15L 31 $52
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 22 $15
🤖 Tech 6 $7
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $7
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

126 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for New England Revolution next? Yes 54 0.441 $23.84 $23.79 +43949.7%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Colorado Rapids next? Yes 17 0.459 $7.83 $7.67 +4994.3%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by August 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.224 $4.69 $3.90 +488.2%
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 156 0.027 $4.21 $3.28 +350.0%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 10 0.395 $3.94 $1.24 +46.1%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 10 0.365 $3.65 $0.85 +30.4%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next? Yes 20 0.166 $3.29 $3.25 +8200.0%
Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? Yes 140 0.022 $3.16 $1.47 +87.5%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 65 0.043 $2.82 $1.00 +55.0%
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 95 0.025 $2.33 $1.09 +88.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.155 $2.33 $-2.92 -55.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026? No 15 0.155 $2.33 $0.97 +72.2%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? No 22 0.105 $2.31 $-0.11 -4.5%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Houston Dynamo FC next? Yes 5 0.451 $2.25 $2.25 +22450.0%
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? Yes 12 0.185 $2.22 $1.14 +105.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? No 13 0.155 $2.02 $0.33 +19.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? Yes 17 0.118 $2.01 $0.98 +94.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 17, 2026? Yes 62 0.031 $1.94 $1.88 +3000.0%
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 11 0.161 $1.77 $1.61 +1046.4%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? Yes 5 0.340 $1.70 $0.20 +13.3%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 10 0.170 $1.70 $0.40 +30.8%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? Yes 5 0.320 $1.60 $0.30 +23.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 27 0.059 $1.59 $0.51 +47.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 7 0.225 $1.57 $-0.24 -13.5%
Will Rodri join Barcelona? Yes 41 0.038 $1.55 $0.49 +46.1%