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Trader leaderboard/0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

0x63bd19ec92d98b4cebfb150df81b629a67b4aff2
PnL (30d)
−$29
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
16%
48W / 252L · 135 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
85W / 346L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
435
across 330 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.13
avg win $10 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.88
$222 won / $251 lost
Reward / Risk
7.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$63
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,401 · all-time $275,493

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 16.0% 48W/252L 330 $758
🏛 Politics 13.6% 3W/19L 34 $57
🎬 Culture 15.8% 3W/16L 33 $45
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/3L 28 $22
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 9 $9
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $7
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

125 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for New England Revolution next? Yes 54 0.441 $23.84 $23.79 +43949.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? Yes 9 0.920 $8.09 $-0.62 -7.1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by August 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.223 $4.68 $3.88 +486.8%
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 156 0.026 $4.13 $3.20 +341.6%
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 11 0.364 $4.00 $3.85 +2499.9%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 10 0.395 $3.94 $1.24 +46.1%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 10 0.365 $3.65 $0.85 +30.4%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next? Yes 20 0.165 $3.27 $3.23 +8150.0%
Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? Yes 44 0.071 $3.14 $0.95 +43.5%
Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? Yes 140 0.021 $2.95 $1.26 +75.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 17, 2026? Yes 62 0.045 $2.84 $2.78 +4449.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.170 $2.55 $-2.70 -51.4%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 65 0.038 $2.50 $0.68 +37.5%
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? Yes 12 0.195 $2.34 $1.26 +116.7%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Houston Dynamo FC next? Yes 5 0.451 $2.25 $2.25 +22450.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? No 22 0.100 $2.20 $-0.22 -9.1%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? Yes 5 0.425 $2.12 $0.82 +63.5%
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 95 0.022 $2.09 $0.85 +69.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? Yes 17 0.121 $2.06 $1.02 +98.4%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? Yes 5 0.405 $2.02 $0.52 +35.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026? No 15 0.135 $2.02 $0.68 +50.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? No 13 0.155 $2.02 $0.33 +19.2%
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch No 27 0.070 $1.89 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 10 0.165 $1.65 $0.35 +26.9%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 7 0.225 $1.57 $-0.24 -13.5%