Log in
Trader leaderboard/0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434

0x63bd19ec92d98b4cebfb150df81b629a67b4aff2
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
8W / 30L · 25 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
13W / 50L
Trades (30d)
63
across 50 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.13
avg win $7 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.88
$26 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
5.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21,567 · all-time $275,659

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 16.0% 48W/252L 336 $773
🏛 Politics 13.6% 3W/19L 36 $68
🎬 Culture 15.8% 3W/16L 34 $55
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/3L 29 $23
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 9 $9
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $8
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

127 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for New England Revolution next? Yes 54 0.441 $23.84 $23.79 +43949.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? Yes 9 0.950 $8.35 $-0.35 -4.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Colorado Rapids next? Yes 17 0.483 $8.24 $8.09 +5266.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by August 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.223 $4.68 $3.88 +486.8%
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 156 0.027 $4.21 $3.28 +350.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 27 0.154 $4.17 $3.04 +267.8%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 10 0.395 $3.94 $1.24 +46.1%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 10 0.365 $3.65 $0.85 +30.4%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next? Yes 20 0.166 $3.29 $3.25 +8200.0%
Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? Yes 140 0.022 $3.16 $1.47 +87.5%
Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? Yes 44 0.070 $3.08 $0.89 +40.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 17, 2026? Yes 62 0.045 $2.84 $2.78 +4449.9%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 65 0.038 $2.50 $0.68 +37.5%
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 11 0.222 $2.44 $2.29 +1485.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.160 $2.40 $-2.85 -54.3%
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? Yes 12 0.195 $2.34 $1.26 +116.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026? No 15 0.155 $2.33 $0.97 +72.2%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Houston Dynamo FC next? Yes 5 0.452 $2.26 $2.25 +22500.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? No 22 0.100 $2.20 $-0.22 -9.1%
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes 95 0.023 $2.19 $0.95 +76.9%
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? Yes 5 0.425 $2.12 $0.82 +63.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? Yes 17 0.117 $1.99 $0.95 +91.8%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August? Yes 5 0.395 $1.98 $0.47 +31.7%
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch No 27 0.070 $1.89 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? No 13 0.145 $1.88 $0.19 +11.5%