PnL (30d)

+$54

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

37W / 59L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

38W / 59L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

98

across 69 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.81

avg win $12 · loss $7

Profit Factor

1.20

$324 won / $270 lost

Reward / Risk

1.78

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$31

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	19.0% 273W/1,161L	299	$1,549
⚽ Sports	48.0% 12W/13L	17	$116
🌤 Weather	7.8% 4W/47L	16	$51
₿ Crypto	—	5	$43
💵 Economy	—	4	$36
🏛 Politics	—	1	$7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	160	0.185	$29.68	$6.70	+29.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Yes	370	0.072	$26.82	$19.79	+281.6%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42	0.545	$22.62	$6.33	+38.8%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	43	0.495	$21.29	$15.27	+253.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	20	0.835	$16.70	$-0.90	-5.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28	0.505	$14.02	$0.97	+7.4%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	Yes	170	0.079	$13.44	$-0.21	-1.5%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16	0.720	$11.67	$5.67	+94.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	155	0.075	$11.62	$-4.37	-27.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	88	0.105	$9.19	$2.19	+31.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	13	0.650	$8.27	$1.27	+18.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	26	0.305	$7.93	$0.91	+13.0%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	19	0.410	$7.79	$0.76	+10.8%
National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton	Jenson Brooksby	28	0.265	$7.42	$0.42	+6.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	47	0.145	$6.76	$-0.23	-3.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	24	0.239	$5.71	$-1.59	-21.8%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	67	0.085	$5.67	$-0.33	-5.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	25	0.195	$4.88	$-2.12	-30.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	60	0.080	$4.80	$-1.20	-20.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31	0.150	$4.63	$-1.06	-18.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58	0.080	$4.62	$-5.12	-52.6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	40	0.115	$4.60	$-1.40	-23.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	175	0.025	$4.29	$-2.71	-38.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	57	0.065	$3.72	$-3.28	-46.8%
National Bank Open: Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie	Ignacio Buse	21	0.165	$3.40	$-3.60	-51.5%