PnL (30d)

+$1

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

2W / 0L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

4W / 9L

Trades (30d)

13

across 9 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.95

avg win $1

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	19.1% 273W/1,160L	299	$1,549
⚽ Sports	48.0% 12W/13L	17	$116
🌤 Weather	7.8% 4W/47L	16	$51
₿ Crypto	—	5	$43
💵 Economy	—	4	$36
🏛 Politics	—	1	$7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	160	0.185	$29.68	$6.70	+29.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Yes	370	0.064	$23.68	$16.65	+236.8%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42	0.545	$22.62	$6.33	+38.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	20	0.825	$16.50	$-1.10	-6.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28	0.505	$14.02	$0.97	+7.4%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	Yes	170	0.078	$13.27	$-0.38	-2.8%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16	0.725	$11.75	$5.75	+95.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	155	0.075	$11.62	$-4.37	-27.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	88	0.100	$8.75	$1.75	+25.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	13	0.675	$8.59	$1.59	+22.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	26	0.305	$7.93	$0.91	+13.0%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	19	0.415	$7.88	$0.85	+12.2%
National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton	Jenson Brooksby	28	0.255	$7.14	$0.14	+2.0%
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca	Stefanos Tsitsipas	17	0.415	$7.09	$0.09	+1.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	47	0.145	$6.76	$-0.23	-3.3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	67	0.100	$6.67	$0.67	+11.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	54	0.120	$6.54	$0.54	+9.1%
National Bank Open: Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie	Ignacio Buse	21	0.315	$6.49	$-0.52	-7.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	24	0.239	$5.71	$-1.59	-21.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	25	0.225	$5.62	$-1.38	-19.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	175	0.028	$4.81	$-2.19	-31.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	60	0.080	$4.80	$-1.20	-20.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31	0.155	$4.78	$-0.90	-15.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58	0.080	$4.62	$-5.12	-52.6%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	28	0.155	$4.38	$0.14	+3.3%