| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
914 |
0.725 |
$662.53 |
$19.01 |
+3.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
224 |
0.905 |
$202.28 |
$39.50 |
+24.3% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
190 |
0.880 |
$167.20 |
$5.70 |
+3.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
210 |
0.784 |
$164.75 |
$-13.32 |
-7.5% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
380 |
0.420 |
$159.60 |
$-14.80 |
-8.5% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
236 |
0.675 |
$159.13 |
$-21.41 |
-11.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.795 |
$158.99 |
$-11.00 |
-6.5% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
No |
170 |
0.885 |
$150.45 |
$-1.53 |
-1.0% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.580 |
$139.20 |
$16.40 |
+13.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.870 |
$130.50 |
$3.50 |
+2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
156 |
0.720 |
$112.54 |
$-17.63 |
-13.5% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.855 |
$108.29 |
$-1.37 |
-1.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
220 |
0.490 |
$107.79 |
$-18.54 |
-14.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.997 |
$103.08 |
$24.59 |
+31.3% |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? |
No |
100 |
0.924 |
$92.40 |
$14.80 |
+19.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$4.50 |
+5.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.870 |
$86.99 |
$2.00 |
+2.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.860 |
$86.00 |
$3.00 |
+3.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.820 |
$81.99 |
$-3.00 |
-3.5% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.795 |
$79.48 |
$-7.50 |
-8.6% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.385 |
$77.00 |
$-9.00 |
-10.5% |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
200 |
0.365 |
$73.00 |
$-31.00 |
-29.8% |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? |
Yes |
100 |
0.690 |
$69.29 |
$8.00 |
+13.1% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.690 |
$68.99 |
$-7.71 |
-10.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
362 |
0.185 |
$66.99 |
$-39.64 |
-37.2% |