| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
914 |
0.725 |
$662.53 |
$19.01 |
+3.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
224 |
0.905 |
$202.28 |
$39.50 |
+24.3% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
190 |
0.860 |
$163.40 |
$1.90 |
+1.2% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
236 |
0.680 |
$160.31 |
$-20.24 |
-11.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
210 |
0.758 |
$159.18 |
$-18.89 |
-10.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.780 |
$155.99 |
$-14.00 |
-8.2% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
No |
170 |
0.885 |
$150.45 |
$-1.53 |
-1.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
156 |
0.850 |
$132.86 |
$2.69 |
+2.1% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.505 |
$121.20 |
$-1.60 |
-1.3% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.775 |
$116.25 |
$-10.75 |
-8.5% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.855 |
$108.29 |
$-1.37 |
-1.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.950 |
$102.49 |
$11.97 |
+13.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
220 |
0.435 |
$95.69 |
$-30.64 |
-24.3% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.900 |
$93.09 |
$14.61 |
+18.6% |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? |
No |
100 |
0.924 |
$92.40 |
$14.80 |
+19.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$4.50 |
+5.2% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.435 |
$87.00 |
$1.00 |
+1.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
362 |
0.235 |
$85.09 |
$-21.54 |
-20.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.830 |
$83.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.825 |
$82.49 |
$-2.50 |
-2.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.805 |
$80.49 |
$-4.50 |
-5.3% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.795 |
$79.48 |
$-7.50 |
-8.6% |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$-33.00 |
-31.7% |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? |
Yes |
100 |
0.690 |
$69.29 |
$8.00 |
+13.1% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.627 |
$62.70 |
$-14.00 |
-18.3% |