| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
914 |
0.725 |
$662.53 |
$19.01 |
+3.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
224 |
0.905 |
$202.28 |
$39.50 |
+24.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
210 |
0.794 |
$166.84 |
$-11.22 |
-6.3% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
190 |
0.865 |
$164.35 |
$2.85 |
+1.8% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
236 |
0.675 |
$159.13 |
$-21.41 |
-11.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.785 |
$156.99 |
$-13.00 |
-7.6% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
No |
170 |
0.885 |
$150.45 |
$-1.53 |
-1.0% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.525 |
$126.00 |
$3.20 |
+2.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
156 |
0.785 |
$122.70 |
$-7.47 |
-5.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.790 |
$118.50 |
$-8.50 |
-6.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
220 |
0.495 |
$108.89 |
$-17.44 |
-13.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? |
Yes |
127 |
0.855 |
$108.29 |
$-1.37 |
-1.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.915 |
$94.65 |
$16.16 |
+20.6% |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? |
No |
100 |
0.924 |
$92.40 |
$14.80 |
+19.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$4.50 |
+5.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.49 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.825 |
$82.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.820 |
$81.99 |
$-3.00 |
-3.5% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.405 |
$81.00 |
$-5.00 |
-5.8% |
| Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call? |
Yes |
80 |
0.996 |
$79.64 |
$11.64 |
+17.1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.795 |
$79.48 |
$-7.50 |
-8.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
362 |
0.205 |
$74.23 |
$-32.40 |
-30.4% |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
200 |
0.355 |
$71.00 |
$-33.00 |
-31.7% |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? |
Yes |
100 |
0.690 |
$69.29 |
$8.00 |
+13.1% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.657 |
$65.70 |
$-11.00 |
-14.3% |