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Trader leaderboard/F4CK

F4CK

0x5de72afd53f4860470ee0f4a11bf0eabddb1540c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$208
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$60
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
6W / 42L · 29 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
25W / 49L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
77
across 22 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$17.36
avg win $13 · loss $33
Profit Factor
0.21
$54 won / $262 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$49
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,350 · all-time $308,546

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.2% 125W/129L 107 $13,448
💵 Economy 50.0% 1W/1L 10 $222
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 6 $1,685
🤖 Tech 3 $156
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 500 0.640 $320.01 $-2.00 -0.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 300 0.845 $253.50 $18.50 +7.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 150 0.835 $125.25 $43.75 +53.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? Yes 155 0.795 $123.22 $-8.32 -6.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 150 0.745 $111.74 $12.75 +12.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 100 0.895 $89.50 $29.50 +49.2%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 202 0.435 $87.96 $19.72 +28.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 500 0.175 $87.50 $16.50 +23.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 520 0.155 $80.60 $-162.00 -66.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.755 $75.49 $7.50 +11.0%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 751 0.095 $71.36 $-271.72 -79.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 100 0.575 $57.49 $-6.60 -10.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 100 0.425 $42.52 $-2.68 -5.9%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.095 $38.00 $-2.00 -5.0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? Yes 100 0.365 $36.50 $-15.50 -29.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 50 0.635 $31.75 $7.25 +29.6%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,000 0.028 $27.50 $17.50 +175.0%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 100 0.275 $27.50 $-26.50 -49.1%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 100 0.260 $26.00 $-4.00 -13.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.205 $20.50 $-7.50 -26.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 50 0.365 $18.25 $-6.25 -25.5%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? Yes 100 0.165 $16.50 $0.50 +3.1%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 29 0.506 $14.64 $-0.56 -3.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 200 0.060 $12.00 $-18.00 -60.0%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 100 0.085 $8.50 $-16.50 -66.0%