| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.615 |
$307.50 |
$-14.50 |
-4.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.835 |
$250.50 |
$15.50 |
+6.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.785 |
$235.50 |
$72.50 |
+44.5% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? |
Yes |
155 |
0.780 |
$120.90 |
$-10.65 |
-8.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.745 |
$111.74 |
$12.75 |
+12.9% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
No |
202 |
0.435 |
$87.96 |
$19.72 |
+28.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.855 |
$85.50 |
$25.50 |
+42.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.165 |
$82.50 |
$11.50 |
+16.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
520 |
0.140 |
$72.80 |
$-169.80 |
-70.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.49 |
$4.50 |
+6.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
751 |
0.095 |
$71.36 |
$-271.72 |
-79.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.511 |
$51.14 |
$-12.95 |
-20.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.425 |
$42.50 |
$-9.50 |
-18.3% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.085 |
$34.00 |
$-6.00 |
-15.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
50 |
0.600 |
$30.00 |
$5.50 |
+22.4% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.029 |
$29.50 |
$19.50 |
+195.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
100 |
0.285 |
$28.49 |
$-25.51 |
-47.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.265 |
$26.50 |
$-3.50 |
-11.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.215 |
$21.50 |
$-6.50 |
-23.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.400 |
$20.00 |
$-4.50 |
-18.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
29 |
0.512 |
$14.82 |
$-0.39 |
-2.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
200 |
0.055 |
$11.00 |
$-19.00 |
-63.3% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.085 |
$8.50 |
$-16.50 |
-66.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.031 |
$7.75 |
$-22.75 |
-74.6% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.065 |
$6.50 |
$-9.50 |
-59.4% |