Log in
Trader leaderboard/F4CK

F4CK

0x5de72afd53f4860470ee0f4a11bf0eabddb1540c
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$63
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$52
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
11W / 18L · 84 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
56W / 57L
Trades (30d)
113
across 20 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$7.84
avg win $53 · loss $19
Profit Factor
1.65
$159 won / $97 lost
Reward / Risk
2.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$49
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,864 · all-time $308,060

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.2% 125W/129L 107 $13,448
💵 Economy 50.0% 1W/1L 10 $222
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 6 $1,685
🤖 Tech 3 $156
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 500 0.635 $317.51 $-4.50 -1.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 300 0.845 $253.50 $18.50 +7.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 300 0.795 $238.50 $75.50 +46.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? Yes 155 0.795 $123.22 $-8.32 -6.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 150 0.745 $111.74 $12.75 +12.9%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 202 0.435 $87.96 $19.72 +28.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 500 0.175 $87.50 $16.50 +23.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 100 0.865 $86.50 $26.50 +44.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 520 0.155 $80.60 $-162.00 -66.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes 100 0.715 $71.49 $3.50 +5.1%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 751 0.095 $71.36 $-271.72 -79.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 100 0.601 $60.04 $-4.05 -6.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? Yes 100 0.430 $43.00 $-9.00 -17.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 100 0.400 $39.97 $-5.23 -11.6%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.085 $34.00 $-6.00 -15.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 50 0.630 $31.50 $7.00 +28.6%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,000 0.032 $31.50 $21.50 +215.0%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 100 0.290 $29.00 $-25.00 -46.3%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 100 0.260 $26.00 $-4.00 -13.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.185 $18.50 $-9.50 -33.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 50 0.370 $18.50 $-6.00 -24.5%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 29 0.507 $14.67 $-0.53 -3.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? Yes 200 0.065 $13.00 $-17.00 -56.7%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 100 0.090 $9.00 $-16.00 -64.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 250 0.031 $7.75 $-22.75 -74.6%