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Trader leaderboard/PBot-10

PBot-10

0x5d634050ad89f172afb340437ed3170eaa2c9075
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$769
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
37%
143W / 246L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
155W / 246L
Trades (30d)
401
across 17 markets · ~24 per market
EV / position
−$51.25
avg win $50 · loss $140
Profit Factor
0.31
$350 won / $1,119 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$452
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $342,267 · all-time $9,644,986

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.1% 43,410W/38,416L 10611 $2,275,571
⚽ Sports 54.7% 6,922W/5,740L 1724 $169,728
₿ Crypto 37.4% 591W/991L 300 $10,855
🏛 Politics 93.1% 27W/2L 17 $916
💵 Economy 4.4% 8W/175L 7 $2,044
🎬 Culture 95.5% 21W/1L 7 $616

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,429 0.845 $1,207.90 $120.39 +11.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 1,053 0.830 $874.23 $426.99 +95.5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? Down 1,340 0.575 $770.50 $254.90 +49.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 522 0.935 $488.54 $10.78 +2.3%
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuan Elizara Yaneva 289 1.000 $288.98 $132.93 +85.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 277 0.925 $255.87 $1.38 +0.5%
Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05? No 251 1.000 $251.06 $112.26 +80.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 370 0.615 $227.25 $21.83 +10.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? Yes 220 1.000 $219.89 $5.99 +2.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? Yes 218 1.000 $218.22 $2.77 +1.3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Up 257 0.790 $202.95 $45.84 +29.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? No 200 1.000 $199.90 $1.70 +0.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? No 200 1.000 $199.90 $0.50 +0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? No 200 1.000 $199.90 $0.90 +0.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? No 200 0.998 $199.60 $1.60 +0.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? No 200 0.998 $199.50 $0.50 +0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 8? Yes 200 0.995 $198.90 $0.50 +0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? Yes 200 0.990 $198.00 $-0.80 -0.4%
Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 2.5 Under 195 1.000 $195.22 $31.35 +19.1%
Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-08-05? Yes 171 1.000 $170.57 $76.06 +80.5%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5? Up 154 0.975 $150.39 $32.39 +27.4%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05? No 138 1.000 $137.63 $26.14 +23.4%
AC Milan vs. Inter Milano: O/U 2.5 Under 134 1.000 $133.87 $26.72 +24.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 383 0.345 $131.99 $11.17 +9.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 130 0.976 $127.16 $4.63 +3.8%