PnL (30d)

−$1,745

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

2,387W / 3,192L · 144 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

2,461W / 3,259L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

5,723

across 479 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$3.82

avg win $14 · loss $22

Profit Factor

0.65

$3,234 won / $4,979 lost

Reward / Risk

0.66

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,034

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.1% 43,411W/38,416L	10611	$2,275,571
⚽ Sports	54.7% 6,922W/5,740L	1724	$169,728
₿ Crypto	37.4% 591W/991L	300	$10,855
🏛 Politics	93.1% 27W/2L	17	$916
💵 Economy	4.4% 8W/175L	7	$2,044
🎬 Culture	95.5% 21W/1L	7	$616

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	1,429	0.845	$1,207.90	$120.39	+11.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	1,053	0.845	$890.03	$442.79	+99.0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	1,340	0.410	$549.40	$33.80	+6.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	522	0.935	$488.54	$10.78	+2.3%
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	1,021	0.425	$434.08	$35.75	+9.0%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	277	0.925	$255.87	$1.38	+0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	370	0.620	$229.10	$23.68	+11.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	Yes	220	1.000	$219.89	$5.99	+2.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5?	Yes	218	1.000	$218.22	$2.77	+1.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	200	1.000	$199.90	$1.70	+0.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5?	No	200	1.000	$199.90	$0.50	+0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?	No	200	1.000	$199.90	$0.90	+0.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9?	No	200	0.998	$199.60	$1.60	+0.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6?	No	200	0.998	$199.50	$0.50	+0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 8?	Yes	200	0.995	$198.90	$0.50	+0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9?	Yes	200	0.990	$198.00	$-0.80	-0.4%
Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 2.5	Under	195	1.000	$195.22	$31.35	+19.1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	257	0.745	$191.39	$34.28	+21.8%
Will Juventus Turin win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	171	1.000	$170.57	$76.06	+80.5%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	154	0.979	$151.01	$33.00	+28.0%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-05?	No	138	1.000	$137.63	$26.14	+23.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	383	0.345	$131.99	$11.17	+9.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	No	130	0.976	$127.16	$4.63	+3.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 8?	Yes	110	0.996	$109.50	$0.60	+0.6%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	114	0.945	$107.78	$-0.43	-0.4%