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Trader leaderboard/PBot-10

PBot-10

0x5d634050ad89f172afb340437ed3170eaa2c9075
PnL (30d)
−$150,651
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$144
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
43,407W / 38,404L · 859 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
43,747W / 38,884L · 39 open
Trades (30d)
82,670
across 10,611 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$14.44
avg win $71 · loss $100
Profit Factor
0.71
$372,154 won / $522,805 lost
Reward / Risk
0.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,585
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $336,435 · all-time $9,639,154

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.1% 43,407W/38,404L 10611 $2,275,571
⚽ Sports 54.7% 6,922W/5,740L 1724 $169,728
₿ Crypto 37.4% 591W/991L 300 $10,855
🏛 Politics 93.1% 27W/2L 17 $916
💵 Economy 4.4% 8W/175L 7 $2,044
🎬 Culture 95.5% 21W/1L 7 $616

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,429 0.835 $1,193.61 $106.09 +9.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 1,053 0.805 $847.90 $400.66 +89.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 522 0.935 $488.54 $10.78 +2.3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? Down 1,260 0.225 $283.50 $-194.50 -40.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 277 0.925 $255.87 $1.38 +0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 370 0.625 $230.94 $25.53 +12.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? Yes 220 1.000 $219.89 $5.99 +2.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? Yes 218 1.000 $218.22 $2.77 +1.3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Up 257 0.780 $200.38 $43.27 +27.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? No 200 1.000 $199.90 $1.70 +0.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? No 200 1.000 $199.90 $0.50 +0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? No 200 1.000 $199.90 $0.90 +0.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? No 200 0.999 $199.70 $0.70 +0.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? No 200 0.998 $199.60 $1.60 +0.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 8? Yes 200 0.995 $198.90 $0.50 +0.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? Yes 200 0.990 $198.00 $-0.80 -0.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 383 0.345 $131.99 $11.17 +9.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 130 0.976 $127.16 $4.63 +3.8%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 5? Up 129 0.980 $126.60 $32.59 +34.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 8? Yes 110 0.996 $109.50 $0.60 +0.6%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 114 0.945 $107.78 $-0.43 -0.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 153 0.660 $101.17 $38.89 +62.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5? Yes 100 1.000 $99.95 $0.95 +1.0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 108 0.905 $97.48 $2.74 +2.9%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidel Gabriela Knutson 96 1.000 $95.79 $28.66 +42.7%