afaus
0x5d5db930389105ecc1927de972696a4e52ba6be6
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$12
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
1W / 2L
Trades (30d)
3
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$6.04
avg win $16 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.57
$16 won / $28 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,822 · all-time $1,561,094
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
609 |
0.955 |
$582.02 |
$10.38 |
+1.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
No |
459 |
0.710 |
$325.85 |
$-34.68 |
-9.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$14.50 |
+5.5% |
| US x China tariff agreement by August 31? |
No |
189 |
0.928 |
$175.09 |
$29.81 |
+20.5% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.705 |
$141.00 |
$7.00 |
+5.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.986 |
$98.55 |
$5.85 |
+6.3% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.075 |
$37.50 |
$-7.50 |
-16.7% |