afaus
0x5d5db930389105ecc1927de972696a4e52ba6be6
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$118
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$22
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
6W / 1L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
8W / 8L
Trades (30d)
16
across 6 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$29.44
avg win $49 · loss $28
Profit Factor
5.22
$146 won / $28 lost
Reward / Risk
1.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,822 · all-time $1,561,094
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
609 |
0.955 |
$581.72 |
$10.07 |
+1.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? |
No |
459 |
0.725 |
$332.74 |
$-27.80 |
-7.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? |
No |
300 |
0.935 |
$280.50 |
$14.50 |
+5.5% |
| US x China tariff agreement by August 31? |
No |
189 |
0.936 |
$176.60 |
$31.32 |
+21.6% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.700 |
$140.00 |
$6.00 |
+4.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
100 |
0.987 |
$98.70 |
$6.00 |
+6.5% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.075 |
$37.50 |
$-7.50 |
-16.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? |
No |
131 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-40.54 |
-99.8% |