PnL (30d)

+$731

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

80W / 1L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

91W / 30L

Trades (30d)

121

across 32 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$33.22

avg win $36 · loss $28

Profit Factor

27.20

$759 won / $28 lost

Reward / Risk

1.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$39

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	98.8% 80W/1L	32	$12,656
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	3	$1,065
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	3	$1,065
🏛 Politics	—	1	$45
🌤 Weather	—	1	$41

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	609	0.951	$579.59	$7.94	+1.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	459	0.755	$346.50	$-14.03	-3.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	300	0.925	$277.50	$11.50	+4.3%
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?	No	189	0.935	$176.50	$31.22	+21.5%
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?	No	200	0.700	$140.00	$6.00	+4.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	100	0.990	$98.95	$6.25	+6.7%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	500	0.075	$37.50	$-7.50	-16.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	No	131	0.001	$0.07	$-40.54	-99.8%