PnL (30d)

+$7

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+24.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

57W / 76L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

69W / 79L · 17 open

Trades (30d)

165

across 17 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$0.82

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

7.50

$9 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

3.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 508W/845L	269	$776
₿ Crypto	17.9% 19W/87L	41	$61
💵 Economy	38.1% 8W/13L	11	$18
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/6L	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?	Yes	27	0.225	$6.18	$5.91	+2150.0%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?	Yes	40	0.125	$5.00	$2.70	+117.4%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	94	0.051	$4.73	$3.70	+359.1%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	138	0.029	$4.07	$-1.07	-20.8%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	30	0.135	$4.05	$2.25	+125.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	255	0.015	$3.95	$0.53	+15.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.013	$3.90	$0.60	+18.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	702	0.005	$3.86	$-0.33	-7.9%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	171	0.020	$3.43	$0.69	+25.3%
Will Solana reach $120 in August?	Yes	400	0.009	$3.40	$0.80	+30.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	75	0.044	$3.32	$1.17	+54.6%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	200	0.015	$3.00	$-0.10	-3.2%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.115	$2.88	$1.38	+91.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.060	$2.40	$0.80	+50.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	150	0.015	$2.17	$-0.17	-7.4%
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	83	0.025	$2.08	$0.74	+55.3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 5?	Yes	35	0.056	$1.96	$0.62	+46.1%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	261	0.007	$1.95	$-0.95	-32.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.090	$1.80	$0.40	+28.6%
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42	0.040	$1.68	$-0.38	-18.4%
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.65	$1.05	+175.0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 6?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.55	$0.65	+72.2%
Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	60	0.025	$1.50	$0.84	+127.3%
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027?	Yes	20	0.070	$1.40	$0.40	+40.0%
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31	0.044	$1.36	$0.43	+46.6%