PnL (30d)

−$107

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$90

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

508W / 845L · 323 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

695W / 948L · 33 open

Trades (30d)

1,676

across 269 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$0.56

avg win $2 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.51

$112 won / $219 lost

Reward / Risk

1.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$18

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 508W/845L	269	$776
₿ Crypto	18.4% 25W/111L	54	$96
💵 Economy	16.0% 4W/21L	14	$22
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

77 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 6?	Yes	100	0.482	$48.20	$47.30	+5255.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	138	0.041	$5.66	$0.52	+10.1%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?	Yes	40	0.125	$5.00	$2.70	+117.4%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	94	0.048	$4.49	$3.46	+336.4%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	30	0.135	$4.05	$2.25	+125.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	255	0.015	$3.95	$0.53	+15.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.013	$3.90	$0.60	+18.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	702	0.005	$3.86	$-0.33	-7.9%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	171	0.020	$3.43	$0.69	+25.3%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.135	$3.38	$1.88	+125.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	75	0.044	$3.32	$1.17	+54.6%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	200	0.016	$3.20	$0.10	+3.2%
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29	0.095	$2.79	$1.09	+64.5%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 5?	Yes	302	0.008	$2.41	$1.72	+248.1%
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.060	$2.40	$0.80	+50.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	150	0.015	$2.25	$-0.10	-4.2%
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	83	0.025	$2.08	$0.74	+55.3%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	261	0.007	$1.95	$-0.95	-32.7%
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.090	$1.80	$0.40	+28.6%
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027?	Yes	20	0.090	$1.80	$0.80	+80.0%
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30	0.055	$1.65	$0.45	+37.5%
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.65	$1.05	+175.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	Yes	20	0.080	$1.60	$0.40	+33.3%
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?	Yes	4	0.430	$1.54	$1.50	+4199.7%
Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	60	0.025	$1.50	$0.84	+127.3%