PnL (30d)

−$51

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-124.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

62W / 38L · 54 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

89W / 43L · 22 open

Trades (30d)

154

across 29 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$4.23

avg win $0 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.04

$2 won / $53 lost

Reward / Risk

0.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	37.5% 508W/845L	269	$776
₿ Crypto	17.9% 19W/87L	41	$61
💵 Economy	38.1% 8W/13L	11	$18
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/6L	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

78 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 6?	Yes	100	0.482	$48.20	$47.30	+5255.5%
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?	Yes	27	0.430	$11.82	$11.54	+4200.0%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	94	0.070	$6.51	$5.48	+531.8%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	138	0.045	$6.21	$1.07	+20.8%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?	Yes	40	0.125	$5.00	$2.70	+117.4%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 5?	Yes	302	0.015	$4.52	$3.83	+552.7%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	200	0.021	$4.28	$1.18	+38.1%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	30	0.135	$4.05	$2.25	+125.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	255	0.015	$3.95	$0.53	+15.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.013	$3.90	$0.60	+18.2%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	702	0.005	$3.86	$-0.33	-7.9%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.150	$3.75	$2.25	+150.0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	171	0.020	$3.43	$0.69	+25.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	75	0.044	$3.32	$1.17	+54.6%
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29	0.090	$2.64	$0.95	+55.9%
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.060	$2.40	$0.80	+50.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	150	0.015	$2.25	$-0.10	-4.2%
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	83	0.025	$2.08	$0.74	+55.3%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	261	0.007	$1.95	$-0.95	-32.7%
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	30	0.062	$1.86	$1.56	+520.0%
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.085	$1.70	$0.30	+21.4%
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027?	Yes	20	0.085	$1.70	$0.70	+70.0%
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42	0.040	$1.68	$-0.38	-18.4%
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30	0.055	$1.65	$0.45	+37.5%
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.65	$1.05	+175.0%