| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5,601 |
0.981 |
$5,491.71 |
$82.24 |
+1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
5,149 |
0.945 |
$4,865.69 |
$242.15 |
+5.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
4,064 |
1.000 |
$4,061.63 |
$23.58 |
+0.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
3,206 |
0.995 |
$3,190.25 |
$220.98 |
+7.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
3,105 |
0.999 |
$3,100.08 |
$65.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
2,767 |
0.991 |
$2,742.43 |
$180.04 |
+7.0% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,808 |
0.947 |
$1,712.37 |
$103.09 |
+6.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
1,565 |
0.999 |
$1,562.25 |
$3.81 |
+0.2% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,632 |
0.951 |
$1,551.20 |
$59.06 |
+4.0% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,457 |
0.987 |
$1,437.91 |
$-0.13 |
-0.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,427 |
0.968 |
$1,380.43 |
$-4.70 |
-0.3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
1,006 |
1.000 |
$1,005.64 |
$1.24 |
+0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
880 |
0.987 |
$868.10 |
$-1.24 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
875 |
0.986 |
$862.31 |
$-4.07 |
-0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,548 |
0.535 |
$828.04 |
$-464.66 |
-35.9% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? |
No |
732 |
1.000 |
$731.62 |
$0.75 |
+0.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? |
No |
707 |
0.991 |
$700.77 |
$11.32 |
+1.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? |
No |
692 |
1.000 |
$691.33 |
$0.40 |
+0.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
778 |
0.825 |
$641.92 |
$12.20 |
+1.9% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
679 |
0.885 |
$601.12 |
$47.85 |
+8.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.999 |
$439.13 |
$2.22 |
+0.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
426 |
0.988 |
$420.70 |
$16.05 |
+4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
315 |
0.900 |
$283.45 |
$3.05 |
+1.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
273 |
0.993 |
$271.39 |
$1.35 |
+0.5% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
260 |
0.839 |
$218.53 |
$-3.47 |
-1.6% |