| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5,576 |
0.981 |
$5,467.20 |
$82.24 |
+1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
5,149 |
0.955 |
$4,917.18 |
$293.64 |
+6.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
4,064 |
0.999 |
$4,059.60 |
$21.55 |
+0.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
3,185 |
0.997 |
$3,173.85 |
$225.77 |
+7.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
3,105 |
0.999 |
$3,100.08 |
$65.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
2,767 |
0.998 |
$2,760.42 |
$198.03 |
+7.7% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,808 |
0.951 |
$1,718.70 |
$109.42 |
+6.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
1,565 |
0.999 |
$1,562.25 |
$3.81 |
+0.2% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,598 |
0.951 |
$1,519.19 |
$58.81 |
+4.0% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,315 |
0.987 |
$1,297.41 |
$-0.93 |
-0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,265 |
0.965 |
$1,220.09 |
$-8.27 |
-0.7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
961 |
1.000 |
$960.66 |
$1.21 |
+0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
880 |
0.987 |
$868.10 |
$-1.24 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
870 |
0.985 |
$856.51 |
$-4.95 |
-0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,548 |
0.481 |
$744.46 |
$-548.24 |
-42.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
753 |
0.835 |
$628.86 |
$19.86 |
+3.3% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
679 |
0.885 |
$601.12 |
$47.85 |
+8.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? |
No |
500 |
0.984 |
$491.84 |
$6.59 |
+1.4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? |
No |
444 |
1.000 |
$443.56 |
$0.27 |
+0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.999 |
$438.91 |
$2.00 |
+0.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
393 |
0.986 |
$387.12 |
$15.25 |
+4.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? |
No |
387 |
1.000 |
$386.80 |
$0.58 |
+0.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
247 |
0.905 |
$223.24 |
$3.65 |
+1.7% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
260 |
0.838 |
$218.27 |
$-3.73 |
-1.7% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
282 |
0.740 |
$208.87 |
$-25.54 |
-10.9% |