| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5,577 |
0.981 |
$5,468.47 |
$82.25 |
+1.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
5,149 |
0.945 |
$4,865.69 |
$242.15 |
+5.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
4,064 |
1.000 |
$4,061.63 |
$23.58 |
+0.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
3,190 |
0.997 |
$3,178.84 |
$225.78 |
+7.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
3,105 |
0.999 |
$3,100.08 |
$65.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
2,767 |
0.997 |
$2,759.03 |
$196.64 |
+7.7% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
1,808 |
0.956 |
$1,728.65 |
$119.37 |
+7.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
1,565 |
0.999 |
$1,562.25 |
$3.81 |
+0.2% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,603 |
0.953 |
$1,527.15 |
$61.97 |
+4.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,457 |
0.987 |
$1,437.91 |
$-0.13 |
-0.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,270 |
0.969 |
$1,229.99 |
$-3.20 |
-0.3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
1,006 |
1.000 |
$1,005.64 |
$1.24 |
+0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
880 |
0.987 |
$868.10 |
$-1.24 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
875 |
0.985 |
$861.43 |
$-4.95 |
-0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,548 |
0.540 |
$835.78 |
$-456.92 |
-35.3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? |
No |
732 |
1.000 |
$731.62 |
$0.75 |
+0.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? |
No |
684 |
0.987 |
$675.21 |
$8.55 |
+1.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
778 |
0.825 |
$641.92 |
$12.20 |
+1.9% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
679 |
0.885 |
$601.12 |
$47.85 |
+8.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? |
No |
449 |
0.999 |
$448.33 |
$0.05 |
+0.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.999 |
$439.13 |
$2.22 |
+0.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
421 |
0.988 |
$415.77 |
$16.05 |
+4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
252 |
0.885 |
$222.73 |
$-1.36 |
-0.6% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
260 |
0.838 |
$218.27 |
$-3.73 |
-1.7% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
282 |
0.740 |
$208.87 |
$-25.54 |
-10.9% |