Kaythoven
0x55b721af9b6323ddc994db71878e1e0be5133775
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
5W / 0L
Trades (30d)
5
across 1 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,721 · all-time $614,096
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
18,000 |
0.541 |
$9,738.00 |
$738.00 |
+8.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
18,000 |
0.459 |
$8,262.00 |
$-738.00 |
-8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
2,221 |
0.999 |
$2,217.23 |
$1.11 |
+0.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,625 |
0.962 |
$1,562.71 |
$19.57 |
+1.3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1,500 |
0.957 |
$1,434.75 |
$3.75 |
+0.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
1,234 |
0.973 |
$1,200.72 |
$19.48 |
+1.6% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.955 |
$955.00 |
$15.00 |
+1.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$10.00 |
+1.1% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$7.50 |
+1.6% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.982 |
$392.77 |
$9.80 |
+2.6% |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.915 |
$183.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.7% |