Kaythoven
0x55b721af9b6323ddc994db71878e1e0be5133775
PnL (30d)
−$428
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$63
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
75W / 6L · 46 open
Win Return (30d)
95%
121W / 6L
Trades (30d)
127
across 30 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$20.36
avg win $10 · loss $306
Profit Factor
0.30
$184 won / $612 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,500 · all-time $611,875
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
18,000 |
0.540 |
$9,729.00 |
$729.00 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
18,000 |
0.460 |
$8,271.00 |
$-729.00 |
-8.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.998 |
$1,995.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,625 |
0.961 |
$1,561.09 |
$17.95 |
+1.2% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1,500 |
0.955 |
$1,431.75 |
$0.75 |
+0.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
1,234 |
0.974 |
$1,201.33 |
$20.09 |
+1.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.955 |
$955.00 |
$15.00 |
+1.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$10.00 |
+1.1% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.945 |
$472.50 |
$7.50 |
+1.6% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.982 |
$392.77 |
$9.80 |
+2.6% |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.915 |
$183.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.7% |