PnL (30d)

−$531

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$50

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

37W / 4L · 39 open

Win Return (30d)

95%

76W / 4L

Trades (30d)

80

across 15 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$66.38

avg win $11 · loss $610

Profit Factor

0.13

$79 won / $610 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	92.6% 75W/6L	30	$45,829
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	5	$4,610
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	2	$1,994
🎬 Culture	—	1	$225
🔬 Science	—	1	$225

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	18,000	0.540	$9,729.00	$729.00	+8.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	18,000	0.460	$8,271.00	$-729.00	-8.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	2,000	0.998	$1,995.00	$-1.00	-0.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	1,625	0.961	$1,561.09	$17.95	+1.2%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	1,500	0.955	$1,431.75	$0.75	+0.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	1,234	0.974	$1,201.95	$20.71	+1.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	1,000	0.955	$955.00	$15.00	+1.6%
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	1,000	0.935	$935.00	$10.00	+1.1%
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	500	0.945	$472.50	$7.50	+1.6%
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	400	0.982	$392.77	$9.80	+2.6%
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	200	0.915	$183.00	$3.00	+1.7%