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Trader leaderboard/mantou11

mantou11

0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$35
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 11L
Trades (30d)
11
across 1 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11 · all-time $3,346,504

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.0% 1W/4L 19 $1,748
💵 Economy 1 $18
🤖 Tech 1 $18
🏛 Politics 1 $4

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30? Yes 568 0.330 $187.49 $98.56 +110.8%
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? No 298 0.615 $183.12 $25.67 +16.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? No 1,431 0.081 $115.93 $-165.61 -58.8%
Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30? Yes 451 0.217 $98.13 $11.25 +13.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? No 95 0.968 $91.91 $6.01 +7.0%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? Yes 584 0.135 $78.83 $-0.08 -0.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? Yes 235 0.325 $76.50 $4.50 +6.2%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? No 104 0.700 $72.80 $44.85 +160.5%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 248 0.285 $70.56 $28.46 +67.6%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? Yes 208 0.330 $68.64 $-7.27 -9.6%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? Yes 86 0.775 $66.47 $32.74 +97.1%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No 157 0.400 $62.86 $10.50 +20.1%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31? Yes 166 0.340 $56.50 $-32.89 -36.8%
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? Yes 165 0.269 $44.37 $23.66 +114.2%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? No 44 0.825 $36.63 $2.84 +8.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes 415 0.065 $26.96 $6.22 +30.0%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? Yes 50 0.385 $19.29 $12.27 +175.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? Yes 120 0.151 $18.12 $8.44 +87.2%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? Yes 30 0.505 $15.15 $8.25 +119.6%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30? No 15 0.981 $14.71 $0.33 +2.3%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31? Yes 24 0.605 $14.57 $6.87 +89.1%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes 207 0.062 $12.93 $-19.35 -59.9%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? Yes 50 0.178 $8.90 $-0.35 -3.8%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? Yes 16 0.380 $6.16 $4.21 +216.7%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31? Yes 32 0.160 $5.16 $-2.58 -33.3%