PnL (30d)

−$147

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$227

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-36.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

1W / 4L · 27 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

12W / 20L

Trades (30d)

32

across 19 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$29.40

avg win $39 · loss $47

Profit Factor

0.21

$39 won / $186 lost

Reward / Risk

0.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 1W/4L	19	$1,748
🏛 Politics	—	1	$24
💵 Economy	—	1	$18
🤖 Tech	—	1	$18

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	568	0.330	$187.49	$98.56	+110.8%
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	No	298	0.615	$183.12	$25.67	+16.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?	No	1,431	0.081	$115.93	$-165.61	-58.8%
Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	Yes	451	0.210	$94.75	$7.87	+9.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?	No	95	0.967	$91.82	$5.92	+6.9%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	Yes	584	0.140	$81.75	$2.84	+3.6%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?	Yes	235	0.325	$76.50	$4.50	+6.2%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	104	0.705	$73.32	$45.37	+162.3%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	208	0.345	$71.74	$-4.17	-5.5%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	248	0.285	$70.56	$28.46	+67.6%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	86	0.775	$66.47	$32.74	+97.1%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	No	157	0.400	$62.86	$10.50	+20.1%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?	Yes	166	0.326	$54.25	$-35.14	-39.3%
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	165	0.262	$43.13	$22.42	+108.3%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	No	44	0.825	$36.63	$2.84	+8.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	415	0.065	$26.96	$6.22	+30.0%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?	Yes	50	0.375	$18.79	$11.77	+167.9%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?	Yes	120	0.148	$17.82	$8.14	+84.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	30	0.505	$15.15	$8.25	+119.6%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?	No	15	0.979	$14.69	$0.30	+2.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?	Yes	24	0.605	$14.57	$6.87	+89.1%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Yes	207	0.062	$12.93	$-19.35	-59.9%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	50	0.178	$8.90	$-0.35	-3.8%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	Yes	16	0.390	$6.32	$4.38	+225.0%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?	Yes	32	0.160	$5.16	$-2.58	-33.3%