PnL (30d)

−$144

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$268

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-46.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

1W / 2L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

11W / 4L

Trades (30d)

15

across 12 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$47.92

avg win $39 · loss $91

Profit Factor

0.21

$39 won / $183 lost

Reward / Risk

0.43

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.0% 1W/4L	19	$1,748
💵 Economy	—	1	$18
🤖 Tech	—	1	$18
🏛 Politics	—	1	$4

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	No	298	0.615	$183.12	$25.67	+16.3%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?	Yes	568	0.315	$178.96	$90.04	+101.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?	No	1,431	0.082	$116.65	$-164.90	-58.6%
Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	Yes	451	0.218	$98.36	$11.48	+13.2%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?	No	95	0.968	$91.91	$6.01	+7.0%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	Yes	584	0.140	$81.75	$2.84	+3.6%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?	Yes	235	0.325	$76.50	$4.50	+6.2%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	104	0.700	$72.80	$44.85	+160.5%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	248	0.285	$70.56	$28.46	+67.6%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	86	0.775	$66.47	$32.74	+97.1%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	208	0.315	$65.52	$-10.39	-13.7%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	No	157	0.400	$62.86	$10.50	+20.1%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?	Yes	166	0.340	$56.50	$-32.89	-36.8%
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	165	0.262	$43.13	$22.42	+108.3%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?	No	44	0.825	$36.63	$2.84	+8.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	415	0.060	$24.89	$4.15	+20.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?	Yes	120	0.152	$18.24	$8.56	+88.4%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?	Yes	50	0.330	$16.53	$9.52	+135.7%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	30	0.505	$15.15	$8.25	+119.6%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?	No	15	0.980	$14.69	$0.31	+2.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?	Yes	24	0.600	$14.45	$6.75	+87.5%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Yes	207	0.062	$12.93	$-19.35	-59.9%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	50	0.234	$11.70	$2.45	+26.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	Yes	16	0.370	$6.00	$4.05	+208.3%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?	Yes	32	0.160	$5.16	$-2.58	-33.3%