| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
12,402 |
0.969 |
$12,011.61 |
$-65.40 |
-0.5% |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? |
$60 |
8,394 |
0.792 |
$6,647.67 |
$-1,021.44 |
-13.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,000 |
0.835 |
$5,010.01 |
$375.01 |
+8.1% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
4,077 |
0.961 |
$3,917.78 |
$237.46 |
+6.5% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
3,334 |
0.997 |
$3,324.37 |
$87.17 |
+2.7% |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,246 |
0.907 |
$2,945.78 |
$-154.92 |
-5.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
3,598 |
0.725 |
$2,608.73 |
$18.00 |
+0.7% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
2,204 |
0.964 |
$2,123.63 |
$261.18 |
+14.0% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,309 |
0.889 |
$2,053.92 |
$-158.88 |
-7.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
2,122 |
0.963 |
$2,041.98 |
$26.52 |
+1.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
1,912 |
0.934 |
$1,786.85 |
$-14.74 |
-0.8% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? |
No |
1,988 |
0.895 |
$1,779.66 |
$29.83 |
+1.7% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,736 |
0.931 |
$1,616.67 |
$-42.68 |
-2.6% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,756 |
0.898 |
$1,577.53 |
$-76.52 |
-4.6% |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,711 |
0.911 |
$1,559.85 |
$-61.62 |
-3.8% |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
1,733 |
0.880 |
$1,524.66 |
$128.57 |
+9.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? |
No |
1,509 |
0.979 |
$1,476.88 |
$3.20 |
+0.2% |
| Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,445.25 |
$5.25 |
+0.4% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,443 |
0.945 |
$1,363.50 |
$21.64 |
+1.6% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
No |
1,721 |
0.760 |
$1,308.19 |
$-103.28 |
-7.3% |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
1,282 |
0.955 |
$1,223.87 |
$19.11 |
+1.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026? |
No |
904 |
0.956 |
$864.33 |
$-8.74 |
-1.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026? |
No |
862 |
0.976 |
$841.60 |
$8.87 |
+1.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? |
No |
887 |
0.910 |
$807.15 |
$10.42 |
+1.3% |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
487 |
0.988 |
$481.19 |
$5.61 |
+1.2% |