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Trader leaderboard/Laurenman

Laurenman

0x54a78f8c6e64572111c5683a9efeed25a04c881b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,223
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$157
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
45W / 33L · 81 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
113W / 46L
Trades (30d)
159
across 15 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$203.76
avg win $569 · loss $161
Profit Factor
3.53
$1,706 won / $483 lost
Reward / Risk
3.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$171
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $277,954 · all-time $18,111,319

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.9% 1,389W/440L 168 $1,377,221
🏛 Politics 100.0% 13W/0L 16 $139,578
⚽ Sports 6 $8,867
₿ Crypto 4 $8,748
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/16L 4 $9,819
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/16L 1 $563

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 12,402 0.969 $12,017.81 $-59.20 -0.5%
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 8,394 0.792 $6,647.67 $-1,021.44 -13.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 6,000 0.835 $5,010.01 $375.01 +8.1%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? Yes 4,077 0.961 $3,915.74 $235.43 +6.4%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 3,334 0.997 $3,324.37 $87.17 +2.7%
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 3,246 0.910 $2,953.90 $-146.80 -4.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 3,598 0.725 $2,608.73 $18.00 +0.7%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 2,204 0.964 $2,124.73 $262.28 +14.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? No 2,122 0.963 $2,041.98 $26.52 +1.3%
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 2,309 0.877 $2,026.21 $-186.59 -8.4%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? No 1,912 0.933 $1,784.94 $-16.65 -0.9%
Iran coup attempt by December 31? No 1,988 0.895 $1,779.66 $29.83 +1.7%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 1,711 0.907 $1,553.00 $-68.46 -4.2%
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? Yes 1,733 0.879 $1,523.80 $127.70 +9.1%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 1,640 0.920 $1,509.62 $-60.10 -3.8%
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? No 1,509 0.979 $1,476.88 $3.20 +0.2%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 1,685 0.868 $1,461.51 $-129.14 -8.1%
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 1,500 0.964 $1,445.25 $5.25 +0.4%
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? No 1,443 0.945 $1,363.50 $21.64 +1.6%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? No 1,721 0.760 $1,308.19 $-103.28 -7.3%
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 1,282 0.955 $1,223.87 $19.11 +1.6%
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026? No 904 0.957 $864.78 $-8.29 -0.9%
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026? No 862 0.976 $841.60 $8.87 +1.1%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? No 887 0.910 $807.15 $10.42 +1.3%
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 487 0.988 $481.19 $5.61 +1.2%