| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
12,402 |
0.965 |
$11,962.00 |
$-115.01 |
-1.0% |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? |
$60 |
8,394 |
0.792 |
$6,647.67 |
$-1,021.44 |
-13.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,000 |
0.845 |
$5,070.01 |
$435.01 |
+9.4% |
| Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
4,077 |
0.963 |
$3,923.90 |
$243.58 |
+6.6% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
3,334 |
0.997 |
$3,324.37 |
$87.17 |
+2.7% |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,246 |
0.870 |
$2,824.05 |
$-276.64 |
-8.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
3,598 |
0.725 |
$2,608.73 |
$18.00 |
+0.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
2,943 |
0.775 |
$2,281.10 |
$42.96 |
+1.9% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
2,204 |
0.964 |
$2,124.73 |
$262.28 |
+14.1% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2,309 |
0.887 |
$2,048.14 |
$-164.65 |
-7.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
2,122 |
0.963 |
$2,041.98 |
$26.52 |
+1.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
1,912 |
0.933 |
$1,783.98 |
$-17.60 |
-1.0% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? |
No |
1,988 |
0.895 |
$1,779.66 |
$29.83 |
+1.7% |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,711 |
0.898 |
$1,537.60 |
$-83.87 |
-5.2% |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
1,733 |
0.879 |
$1,523.80 |
$127.70 |
+9.1% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,640 |
0.902 |
$1,479.28 |
$-90.44 |
-5.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? |
No |
1,509 |
0.979 |
$1,476.88 |
$3.20 |
+0.2% |
| Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.963 |
$1,444.50 |
$4.50 |
+0.3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,685 |
0.853 |
$1,436.24 |
$-154.41 |
-9.7% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,443 |
0.945 |
$1,363.50 |
$21.64 |
+1.6% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
No |
1,721 |
0.760 |
$1,308.19 |
$-103.28 |
-7.3% |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
1,282 |
0.955 |
$1,223.87 |
$19.11 |
+1.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026? |
No |
904 |
0.957 |
$865.23 |
$-7.83 |
-0.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026? |
No |
862 |
0.976 |
$841.60 |
$8.87 |
+1.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? |
No |
887 |
0.910 |
$807.15 |
$10.42 |
+1.3% |